As it turns out, I have a connection to a powerful political oracle. He’s also my brother, but he’s been positively Delphic in his predictions this campaign season, his most recent triumph being accurately forecasting Clinton’s phoenix-like rise from the ashes of the Texas/Ohio primaries.
So without any hesitation at all I post his thoughts on the future of the Democratic bloodbath:
-Hillary will only leave the race when she’s sure she can’t win, regardless of how many emasculated party elders call on her to go (this means you, Howard Dean)
-Hillary wins big in Pennsylvania
-Of the 10 remaining contests, Clinton wins between 5 and 7 of them; Obama wins no more than 3, and there are between 0 and 3 more-or-less ties
-Superdelgates are sweating in their shorts and being intimidated by both camps. Direct quote: “Who do we think is better at intimidation and bullying? The Audacious Hope or Our Lady of Perpetual Scheming?”
-If it’s close after the primaries, expect Hillary to pull out her trump card: the Florida and Michigan delegations. Again I’ll quote the oracle directly: “Surely she can beat up Howard Dean until he comes up with a "compromise" that seeks to avoid "disenfranchising" voters and just so happens to give her more delegates than Obama. Maybe even just enough to put her over the top.”
He ends with this nugget of wisdom, which quite frankly seems prescient to me:
“That's my current analysis. Everything could change tomorrow, naturally, with another pastor problem for Obama or more delusions of snipers from Hillary. Which is of course the reason Hillary should definitely *not* drop out. If Obama flames out even worse next week and she's dropped out where would the Democrats be?”
Obama is one Dean scream or Monkey Business moment from being dead in the water, and Clinton’d be a fool to pass up the opportunity to capitalize on it by dropping out now. This is actually sterling advice from my brother, who is slightly to the right of Captain America.
Which is why the Democrats will certainly not heed it: it’s too sensible.